Davis McCain

Davis McCain

/Research

Variability of Google models: Gemini vs AIO vs AI Mode

Gemini, AI Overviews, and AI Mode share the same underlying infrastructure, but they don't behave like the same product. Across 15,155 brand configurations tracked daily in May 2026, brands saw a median 8-point visibility gap between their best and worst-performing Google model, driven not by how many brands each model mentions (they're nearly identical, 4.4 to 5.0 per response) but by which brands they choose to feature and which sources they cite to back them up. Gemini leans on editorial and reference sources like Reddit, YouTube, and Wikipedia, while AI Overviews and AI Mode cite far more heavily from social and UGC platforms, at roughly double Gemini's citation depth per run.

Analysis, Kevin IndigResearch, Eric Van BuskirkJasman Singh

Multiple authors

/Research

The shortlist is the new shelf

Profound teamed up with Kevin Indig and Clickstream Solutions on one of the first behavioral studies of how real users actually make decisions inside ChatGPT, the product of more than 150 hours of research design, participant sessions, behavioral coding, transcript analysis, statistical work, and writing. Watching 56 people compare products across 221 real shopping tasks, the study uncovered a surprisingly strong link between how often a brand shows up in ChatGPT's answers and what people ultimately choose to buy. The findings reveal something most marketers haven't caught onto yet: the moment of decision has quietly moved somewhere their analytics can't see.

Davis McCain

Davis McCain

/Research

Google AI Mode's shift to citing itself

Google is increasingly keeping AI Mode users inside its own ecosystem, with google.com rising to the model’s second most-cited domain and Business Profiles and Product Knowledge Panels appearing directly in answers. This shift is most pronounced across local-intent industries and physical consumer products, where customers may see a Google-hosted card instead of visiting a brand’s website. For brands, accurate profile information, complete product data, and strong review management are becoming critical to winning visibility and preventing customers from switching to competitors.

Davis McCainKate Underwood

Davis McCain and Kate Underwood

/Research

The state of AI Search in travel

Travel planning is moving away from the traditional search bar and into AI answer engines like ChatGPT. For the better part of two decades, a typical traveler would type a destination-focused keyword into Google, open a dozen tabs, and piece together a trip on their own. Now, they ask a question or have an ongoing conversation, letting the answer engine synthesize recommendations or even book a trip. This shift rewrites how searchers find travel brands. Visibility no longer comes from securing top-ranked blue links in traditional search. Instead, it results from earning mentions and citations in AI search. Increasingly, the brands that appear in AI search are the ones that win the trip.

Allen WuKate Underwood

Allen Wu and Kate Underwood

/Research

Christmas in July: How retailers win the AI shelf

Christmas shopping has shifted away from the search bar. More shoppers are turning to AI answer engines to research products, compare options, and decide which gifts to buy. For retailers, a reframe is critical. Answer engines shortlist products and guide purchase decisions long before shoppers ever reach retail or ecommerce websites. This compresses the shopping funnel and makes traditional search insufficient as a primary customer acquisition channel. Instead, retailers need to ensure answer engines recommend them throughout the shopping journey. This requires understanding how shoppers use answer engines for Christmas gifting, how to earn mentions and citations in relevant AI responses, and how to maximize visibility across AI search. This report gives you that edge. It draws on real shopper behavior from Christmas 2025, analyzed through Profound’s AI visibility lens, illustrating how people use AI to shop for the holiday. It also provides actionable takeaways, revealing how to optimize e-commerce products before the 2026 season ramps up so you can win the AI shelf this Christmas.

Brandon Punturo

Brandon Punturo

/Research

We reverse-engineered ChatGPT's Shopping trigger. Here's how it works.

ChatGPT Shopping is driven far more by product category than by purchase intent language. In our analysis of 1.18 million prompts and a 7,500-prompt labeled sample, prompts naming shippable consumer goods were much more likely to trigger Shopping cards, while software, services, travel, and financial products almost never did. Adding 1–2 concrete constraints like price, features, or use case increased trigger probability, but only within product categories. The clearest rule was simple: if the prompt’s main noun is something you could buy on Amazon, Shopping is likely to appear. Using that logic, we built a classifier that reproduced ChatGPT’s Shopping behavior with about 95–97% accuracy.

Davis McCainBrandon Punturo

Davis McCain and Brandon Punturo

/Research

LinkedIn is the most-cited domain for professional queries in AI search

In the last three months, LinkedIn has become one of the most authoritative sources shaping AI-driven discovery. Between November 2025 and February 2026, the platform surged from outside the top 20 to rank among the most‑cited sources on ChatGPT – and is now the #1 most‑cited domain for professional queries across all AI Search platforms. That’s powerful data for both companies and individuals looking to grow their influence.

Brandon Punturo

Brandon Punturo

/Product, Research

We tracked 2 Million ChatGPT prompts. Shopping showed up less than 10% of the time.

79% of prompts never trigger shopping. Not rarely — never, across nine months of data. The ones that do are surprisingly sticky: 83% chance of triggering again the next day. But that persistence decays, and model updates can reset it overnight. We tracked 26 million prompts across 13,000 categories to map where shopping actually shows up, how consistently it fires, and what that means for brands building strategy around a surface that barely turns on.

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